Newcastle Sub 21 vs Derby County Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
8º
8º
1
10º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
4 - 2
NWC
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NWC
0 - 1
STC
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
WBA
2 - 1
NWC
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
6 - 3
NWC
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 0
NWC
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 4
SUN
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MID
3 - 1
DCO
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
DCO
2 - 5
LUS
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
DCO
2 - 3
MAN
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
DON
2 - 2
DCO
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | +1 |