Newcastle vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
MUD
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 4
MAC
8%
16%
76%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
LEI
4 - 1
WAT
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
TOT
18%
21%
61%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 4
WHU
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 1
WAT
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 3
MAC
8%
17%
76%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |