Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1955 |
CHL
4 - 3
NEW
59%
20%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
NEW
2 - 0
LEI
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
BUR
0 - 1
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
SHE
6 - 2
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1955 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHA
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
BPO
0 - 0
SUN
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
SUN
2 - 2
OPA
59%
20%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1955 |
SHW
1 - 2
SUN
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
SUN
1 - 1
TOT
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |