Newcastle vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
SWA
0 - 2
NEW
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 0
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
WBA
1 - 3
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
NOR
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ASV
1 - 1
STO
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
STO
2 - 1
WOL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WIG
2 - 0
STO
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STO
1 - 1
MAC
19%
25%
56%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TOT
1 - 1
STO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |