Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
WIM
1 - 1
NEW
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
SHW
1 - 1
NEW
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 3
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
2 - 0
TOT
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
MID
1 - 6
ARS
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
COV
1 - 2
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
MID
0 - 0
CHL
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
MID
2 - 0
CHA
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
MID
3 - 1
WIM
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |