Newcastle vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FUL
1 - 0
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HUL
1 - 4
NEW
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 4
TOT
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CHL
3 - 0
NEW
78%
14%
7%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 0
CRY
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CRY
0 - 1
SOU
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SWA
1 - 1
CRY
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CRY
0 - 2
MUD
7%
16%
77%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CRY
3 - 1
WBA
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |