Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CRY
1 - 0
NEW
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ARS
4 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 3
NEW
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
OXF
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BUR
3 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 2
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 0
ARS
21%
22%
57%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 2
NOR
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
MUD
0 - 2
BUR
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |