Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
EVE
1 - 2
NEW
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1958 |
NEW
2 - 2
SUN
59%
20%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1958 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 2
BIR
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 3
NEW
73%
15%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 3
CHL
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1958 |
LEI
6 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
BPO
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1958 |
LUT
3 - 0
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
ASV
5 - 2
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |