Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 0
CRY
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
21%
22%
57%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BHA
1 - 0
NEW
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 1
CHL
12%
19%
69%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BOU
3 - 1
MID
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
STO
1 - 2
BOU
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TOT
1 - 0
BOU
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 0
LEI
34%
25%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |