Newcastle Town vs Coleshill Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COL
3 - 3
NEW
24%
22%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
COA
1 - 0
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SHE
2 - 1
NEW
16%
20%
64%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 0
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Coleshill Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COL
3 - 3
NEW
24%
22%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
RFC
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +3 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
COL
11 - 0
ELL
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
BAR
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STO
3 - 1
COL
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |