Newcastle Sub 23 vs Middlesbrough Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
FUL
3 - 1
NSB
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
NSB
2 - 3
STO
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
WBA
2 - 0
NSB
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
NSB
2 - 0
BUR
61%
20%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
BCS
0 - 4
NSB
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Middlesbrough Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
NOT
24%
23%
54%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 3
MID
40%
23%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
MID
2 - 0
STO
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
SOU
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
MID
1 - 2
ASV
42%
24%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |