Australia U21 League Round 1

Newcastle Jets U21 vs Melbourne Victory U21 analysis

Newcastle Jets U21 Melbourne Victory U21
35 ELO 34
22.9% Tilt 8.5%
28293º General ELO ranking 9326º
181º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Newcastle Jets U21
20.2%
Draw
21.3%
Melbourne Victory U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Newcastle Jets U21
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.3%
Win probability
Melbourne Victory U21
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Newcastle Jets U21
Melbourne Victory U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newcastle Jets U21
Newcastle Jets U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2014
NEW
Newcastle Jets U21
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar U21
BRI
61%
19%
20%
35 29 6 0
23 Feb. 2014
SYD
Sydney U21
1 - 7
Newcastle Jets U21
NEW
55%
21%
24%
33 34 1 +2
15 Feb. 2014
NEW
Newcastle Jets U21
2 - 2
Melbourne Victory U21
MEL
55%
21%
24%
33 33 0 0
08 Feb. 2014
NEW
Newcastle Jets U21
4 - 2
Adelaide United II
ADE
63%
19%
18%
32 28 4 +1
02 Feb. 2014
WES
WS Wanderers U21
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets U21
NEW
38%
23%
39%
31 27 4 +1

Matches

Melbourne Victory U21
Melbourne Victory U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2014
WES
WS Wanderers U21
1 - 1
Melbourne Victory U21
MEL
27%
22%
50%
34 25 9 0
23 Feb. 2014
MEL
Melbourne Victory U21
5 - 2
Adelaide United II
ADE
55%
21%
23%
33 30 3 +1
15 Feb. 2014
NEW
Newcastle Jets U21
2 - 2
Melbourne Victory U21
MEL
55%
21%
24%
33 33 0 0
09 Feb. 2014
MEL
Melbourne Victory U21
5 - 2
Central C. Mariners U21
CEN
68%
18%
14%
32 25 7 +1
01 Feb. 2014
PER
Perth Glory U21
5 - 2
Melbourne Victory U21
MEL
19%
22%
60%
35 20 15 -3