Newcastle Benfield vs Thornaby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
39%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Benfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 1
NEW
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
NEW
17%
18%
64%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 3
ASH
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Thornaby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
THO
2 - 2
CEL
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
WHI
2 - 2
THO
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
THO
1 - 2
SRC
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 0
THO
17%
18%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 1
THO
20%
20%
61%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |