Newcastle Benfield vs Kidlington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Benfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
BRI
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 2
NEW
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 0
THA
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
4 - 2
NEW
59%
20%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 2
YOR
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kidlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
KID
0 - 5
BEA
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 2
KID
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 1
KID
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
KID
70%
16%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KID
0 - 3
FAR
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |