FA Euro vs Portland Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
52.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA Euro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
SEA
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
NEW
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SEA
4 - 0
NEW
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 2
BOS
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
CAC
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LON
3 - 2
POR
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
POR
3 - 2
CAC
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
NEW
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
POR
4 - 1
LON
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
POR
4 - 0
SEA
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |