FA Euro vs New York RB III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA Euro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 3
NEW
12%
20%
69%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
NEW
89%
9%
3%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
OCE
12%
18%
70%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
NEW
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 2
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
LEH
1 - 2
NEW
9%
18%
73%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 3
NEW
12%
20%
69%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 1
OCE
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
JER
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
REA
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |