FA Euro vs Boston Bolts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA Euro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
CAC
47%
22%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
WES
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
LON
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +3 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 1
NEW
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Boston Bolts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
CAC
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 2
WES
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 2
LON
31%
22%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
BOS
0 - 4
POR
44%
22%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SEA
1 - 3
BOS
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |