New Soger vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Soger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NSG
1 - 2
GBA
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
NSG
1 - 3
DBL
44%
30%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
TSH
0 - 0
NSG
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
OPA
0 - 0
NSG
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
NSG
0 - 4
TPM
45%
31%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 3
DBL
38%
31%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 1
SAN
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |