New Mills vs Kendal Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mills
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 3
WIT
6%
13%
81%
|
5 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
OSS
2 - 0
NEW
90%
8%
2%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
LAN
8%
17%
76%
|
5 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
4 - 1
NEW
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
RAD
4 - 0
NEW
90%
8%
2%
|
5 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Kendal Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 3
BRI
62%
18%
19%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 0
KEN
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
OSS
1 - 3
KEN
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 0
SCA
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KEN
0 - 1
DRO
47%
20%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |