1. Lyga Round 17

Nevezis vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis

Nevezis Zalgiris Vilnius
54 ELO 60
3% Tilt 20.8%
3319º General ELO ranking 938º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.2%
Nevezis
26.3%
Draw
41.4%
Zalgiris Vilnius

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
Nevezis
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.4%
Win probability
Zalgiris Vilnius
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nevezis
-48%
+3%
Zalgiris Vilnius

ELO progression

Nevezis
Zalgiris Vilnius
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nevezis
Nevezis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2009
NEV
Nevezis
1 - 1
FK Šilutė
SIL
36%
26%
38%
53 58 5 0
01 Aug. 2009
NEV
Nevezis
0 - 1
Dainava
DAI
27%
25%
48%
53 64 11 0
28 Jul. 2009
MIN
Minija Kretinga
1 - 5
Nevezis
NEV
31%
23%
46%
52 46 6 +1
04 Jul. 2009
LIE
FK Jonava
0 - 5
Nevezis
NEV
25%
23%
53%
52 39 13 0
24 Jun. 2009
FKL
FK Klaipeda
2 - 1
Nevezis
NEV
21%
22%
57%
53 38 15 -1

Matches

Zalgiris Vilnius
Zalgiris Vilnius
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2009
ZAL
Zalgiris Vilnius
1 - 2
FK Klaipeda
FKL
73%
17%
9%
61 38 23 0
01 Aug. 2009
MAZ
Mazeikiai
5 - 1
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
43%
27%
31%
62 60 2 -1
25 Jul. 2009
LIE
FK Jonava
1 - 2
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
25%
23%
52%
63 38 25 -1
27 Jun. 2009
SIL
FK Šilutė
1 - 0
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
39%
26%
35%
63 57 6 0
24 Jun. 2009
ZAL
Zalgiris Vilnius
0 - 1
Dainava
DAI
49%
25%
26%
64 62 2 -1