Neusiedl vs FCM Traiskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
12º
3º
42
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 61 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 56 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 34 |
11º
|
71% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
97.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 17 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 3
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 3
NEU
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ELE
3 - 4
NEU
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 0
SPO
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 0
LEO
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
FCM Traiskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DON
1 - 1
FCM
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
SCW
1 - 1
FCM
44%
22%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SVG
1 - 1
FCM
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FAV
2 - 0
FCM
20%
21%
60%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 5
FCM
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |