Neusiedl vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
0 - 3
NEU
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
NEU
0 - 0
STG
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
SIG
2 - 4
NEU
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NEU
0 - 1
GUS
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 5
NEU
22%
22%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
1 - 4
PUR
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STI
1 - 0
BAU
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
3 - 0
JEN
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAU
61%
22%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
BAU
3 - 1
HOR
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |