Challenge League Round 17

Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Wil analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax FC Wil
58 ELO 63
4.9% Tilt 8.3%
1614º General ELO ranking 1175º
21º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
27.8%
Neuchâtel Xamax
24.6%
Draw
47.6%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.6%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-1%
+3%
FC Wil

Points and table prediction

Neuchâtel Xamax
Their league position
FC Wil
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
10º
10º
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yverdon
66
66
100%
Lausanne Sports
61
61
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
60
60
100%
Aarau
57
57
100%
FC Wil
56
56
100%
Thun
49
49
100%
Schaffhausen
44
44
100%
FC Vaduz
37
37
100%
AC Bellinzona
37
37
100%
Neuchâtel Xamax
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Wil
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2022
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
25%
25%
50%
56 65 9 0
06 Nov. 2022
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
62%
22%
16%
56 65 9 0
28 Oct. 2022
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 2
Thun
THU
21%
23%
56%
56 64 8 0
23 Oct. 2022
FCA
Aarau
3 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
68%
19%
13%
55 66 11 +1
17 Oct. 2022
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
18%
22%
60%
55 65 10 0

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2022
WIL
FC Wil
6 - 1
Aarau
FCA
30%
23%
47%
62 66 4 0
09 Nov. 2022
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 2
Sion
SIO
22%
22%
56%
62 75 13 0
04 Nov. 2022
THU
Thun
1 - 3
FC Wil
WIL
46%
25%
29%
61 64 3 +1
28 Oct. 2022
WIL
FC Wil
4 - 3
Schaffhausen
SCH
33%
25%
43%
61 64 3 0
23 Oct. 2022
FCV
FC Vaduz
0 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
53%
23%
24%
61 67 6 0