Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 1
NEX
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NEX
3 - 1
SIO
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
STG
3 - 0
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GCZ
0 - 1
NEX
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
THU
2 - 2
ZUR
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
THU
3 - 2
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
GCZ
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |