Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 2
NEX
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
NEX
0 - 2
ZUR
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NEX
2 - 0
GCZ
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SER
1 - 2
NEX
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
NEX
3 - 0
STG
42%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
THU
0 - 1
GCZ
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
STG
3 - 1
THU
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |