Challenge League round 6

Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Vaduz analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax FC Vaduz
68 ELO 70
6.3% Tilt 11.9%
1674º General ELO ranking 1019º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.3%
Neuchâtel Xamax
24.4%
Draw
44.3%
FC Vaduz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.3%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-14%
-2%
FC Vaduz

Points and table prediction

Neuchâtel Xamax
Their league position
FC Vaduz
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Thun
72
72
100%
Aarau
61
61
100%
Etoile Carouge
54
54
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
53
53
100%
FC Wil
53
53
100%
FC Vaduz
51
51
100%
AC Bellinzona
44
44
100%
Neuchâtel Xamax
41
41
100%
Stade Nyonnais
36
36
100%
Schaffhausen
10º
25
28
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Vaduz
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
FC Vaduz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2024
WIL
FC Wil
4 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
35%
26%
39%
67 65 2 0
17 Aug. 2024
BIE
Biel-Bienne
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
22%
21%
57%
68 58 10 -1
09 Aug. 2024
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
52%
24%
24%
68 64 4 0
03 Aug. 2024
FCA
Aarau
1 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
45%
25%
31%
67 67 0 +1
26 Jul. 2024
ETO
Etoile Carouge
3 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
41%
25%
34%
68 66 2 -1

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
3 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
41%
26%
33%
70 72 2 0
11 Aug. 2024
SCH
Schaffhausen
1 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
31%
25%
45%
70 66 4 0
04 Aug. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
3 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
49%
24%
28%
69 66 3 +1
01 Aug. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 2
St Patrick's
STP
33%
25%
43%
69 77 8 0
28 Jul. 2024
THU
Thun
2 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
55%
23%
23%
70 77 7 -1