Challenge League Round 1

Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax Aarau
61 ELO 66
4.3% Tilt 9.3%
1660º General ELO ranking 761º
21º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
24.7%
Neuchâtel Xamax
22.8%
Draw
52.5%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.5%
Win probability
Aarau
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-12%
+11%
Aarau

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2021
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
4 - 0
SC Kriens
KRI
42%
25%
32%
59 59 0 0
01 Aug. 2021
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
65%
20%
14%
59 69 10 0
17 Jul. 2021
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 4
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
74%
16%
10%
59 75 16 0
10 Jul. 2021
THU
Thun
0 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
63%
20%
16%
58 70 12 +1
03 Jul. 2021
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 2
Servette
SER
14%
19%
66%
58 76 18 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2021
THU
Thun
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
43%
25%
32%
67 71 4 0
31 Jul. 2021
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
59%
22%
20%
66 62 4 +1
17 Jul. 2021
CHA
SC Cham
2 - 5
Aarau
FCA
16%
17%
66%
66 56 10 0
10 Jul. 2021
BAS
Basel
3 - 3
Aarau
FCA
73%
16%
11%
66 83 17 0
03 Jul. 2021
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
56%
21%
23%
66 75 9 0