Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
STG
2 - 1
NEX
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
NEX
3 - 1
YOB
26%
26%
49%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
SIO
1 - 1
NEX
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
21%
24%
56%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
NEX
1 - 1
THU
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
THU
2 - 5
FCA
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCA
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |