Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
YOB
1 - 0
NEX
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NEX
0 - 1
GCZ
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NEX
0 - 1
YOB
32%
23%
45%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 1
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 0
YOB
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 3
FUL
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
BIE
82%
13%
6%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 2
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |