Neuberg vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NEU
1 - 1
OBE
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 0
NEU
15%
21%
64%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NEU
2 - 5
JEN
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
STM
4 - 2
NEU
15%
21%
63%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
BAU
3 - 0
NEU
28%
26%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 3
SCO
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
JEN
0 - 4
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
STM
19%
23%
59%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
PUR
1 - 0
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
NEU
1 - 2
FOR
49%
24%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |