Nespereira CD vs Nieto CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+335%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nespereira CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
8 - 0
NES
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NES
1 - 5
PEÑ
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RCA
5 - 1
NES
67%
16%
17%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NES
5 - 1
MOL
53%
20%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CLU
6 - 0
NES
83%
10%
7%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nieto CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NIE
2 - 5
PEÑ
6%
11%
83%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 0
NIE
34%
21%
46%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NIE
1 - 2
COY
18%
19%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATV
4 - 1
NIE
72%
16%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NIE
4 - 2
DES
51%
20%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |