Nesebar vs Strumska Slava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NES
2 - 0
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NEF
0 - 1
NES
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NES
1 - 3
LSO
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NES
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NES
1 - 1
MON
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Strumska Slava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
LUD
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 0
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
STR
2 - 2
BGA
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
NEF
1 - 0
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
STR
1 - 0
SOZ
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |