Nesebar vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
76.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
SVI
0 - 1
NES
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NES
2 - 0
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
NES
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NES
5 - 0
BOR
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LEV
0 - 2
NES
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 0
CVA
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
LUD
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 0
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
POM
0 - 0
LSO
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LSO
2 - 0
BER
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |