Nerva CF vs Zalamea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BEA
4 - 0
NER
48%
24%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NER
0 - 2
CDR
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
REP
2 - 2
NER
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NER
3 - 0
CAM
62%
21%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
NER
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ZAL
0 - 0
ATL
67%
20%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BEA
0 - 0
ZAL
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ZAL
2 - 1
CDR
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ZAL
3 - 1
CRU
39%
25%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
ZAL
17%
22%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |