Nerva CF vs Zalamea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NER
0 - 1
CAM
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NER
1 - 2
PUM
33%
24%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UDP
2 - 1
NER
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NER
0 - 0
AYA
45%
23%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CDP
1 - 0
NER
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ZAL
1 - 1
UDP
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
ZAL
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ZAL
0 - 1
CDP
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ICR
1 - 1
ZAL
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZAL
0 - 2
CDF
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |