Nerva CF vs Atlético Tharsis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
NER
1 - 2
ILI
26%
21%
54%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MOG
5 - 2
NER
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NER
3 - 1
CDC
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
REP
1 - 2
NER
49%
22%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NER
1 - 1
ZAL
45%
24%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Tharsis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
UDP
0 - 1
THA
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
THA
0 - 3
AYA
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CDP
1 - 1
THA
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
THA
0 - 0
ICR
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CDF
1 - 1
THA
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |