Neroca vs Kenkre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
NER
5 - 0
DUT
30%
23%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FAH
0 - 0
NER
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
0 - 1
NER
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
NER
24%
22%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NER
1 - 1
MOH
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Kenkre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
2 - 0
SOU
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
1 - 1
LKA
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
0 - 1
NER
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
2 - 2
DUT
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
KEN
2 - 3
OFC
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |