CD Nerja Fundación vs La Puerta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BAI
1 - 0
NER
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NER
0 - 1
BAE
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 2
NER
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
NER
1 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 2
NER
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Puerta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PUE
3 - 3
MLK
21%
23%
56%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 1
BAI
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
PUE
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 1
ATM
31%
24%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
8 - 0
PUE
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |