CD Nerja Fundación vs Atlético Estación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
67.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+289%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MLK
3 - 0
NER
74%
16%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NER
1 - 1
ARC
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LAC
1 - 0
NER
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NER
0 - 0
CAL
11%
19%
71%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHU
0 - 0
NER
82%
13%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Estación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 2
ATL
45%
22%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAL
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MIJ
0 - 2
ATL
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
41%
24%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ATM
0 - 3
ATL
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |