Nereto vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nereto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 0
NER
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NER
1 - 1
SSS
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UST
3 - 0
NER
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NER
2 - 3
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
NER
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
POR
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 0
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 3
SFF
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
PIN
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |