1. Lyga Round 5

Neptunas Klaipėda vs Garliava analysis

Neptunas Klaipėda Garliava
57 ELO 45
1.8% Tilt 17.2%
1823º General ELO ranking 5377º
11º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
68.9%
Neptunas Klaipėda
19.2%
Draw
11.9%
Garliava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
Neptunas Klaipėda
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.9%
Win probability
Garliava
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neptunas Klaipėda
+4%
-12%
Garliava

Points and table prediction

Neptunas Klaipėda
Their league position
Garliava
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
12º
40
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Transinvest Vilnius
70
70
100%
Be1 NFA
56
56
100%
Neptunas Klaipėda
51
51
0%
Nevezis
51
51
100%
FK Babrungas
51
51
0%
Minija Kretinga
51
51
0%
Riteriai II
46
46
100%
Garliava
40
40
100%
Ekranas Panevezys
39
39
100%
BFA
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Marijampolė City
16º
0
35
11º
100%
FK Siauliai 2
11º
33
33
12º
100%
Kauno Žalgiris II
12º
32
32
13º
100%
Panevėžys II
13º
31
31
14º
100%
Žalgiris II
14º
28
28
15º
100%
FK Jonava
15º
15
15
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neptunas Klaipėda
Garliava
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Neptunas Klaipėda
Garliava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neptunas Klaipėda
Neptunas Klaipėda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2023
SIA
FK Siauliai 2
1 - 1
Neptunas Klaipėda
NEP
19%
22%
60%
57 44 13 0
24 Mar. 2023
NEP
Neptunas Klaipėda
0 - 0
Minija Kretinga
MIN
64%
20%
16%
57 45 12 0
17 Mar. 2023
TRA
Riteriai II
3 - 2
Neptunas Klaipėda
NEP
22%
22%
57%
58 44 14 -1
11 Mar. 2023
NEP
Neptunas Klaipėda
4 - 2
Transinvest Vilnius
FKT
88%
9%
3%
58 18 40 0
18 Feb. 2023
ZAL
Zalgiris Vilnius
4 - 1
Neptunas Klaipėda
NEP
77%
15%
9%
58 76 18 0

Matches

Garliava
Garliava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
GKA
Garliava
0 - 0
Nevezis
NEV
21%
22%
57%
43 53 10 0
26 Mar. 2023
BEN
Be1 NFA
1 - 1
Garliava
GKA
70%
19%
12%
42 55 13 +1
18 Mar. 2023
GKA
Garliava
0 - 2
Marijampolė City
MCF
22%
23%
55%
44 53 9 -2
10 Mar. 2023
BAB
FK Babrungas
3 - 2
Garliava
GKA
66%
19%
15%
44 50 6 0
25 Feb. 2023
GKA
Garliava
2 - 1
Marijampolė City
MCF
19%
20%
61%
44 52 8 0