Nemelaer vs SV Orion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
15º
14º
38
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 58 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
11º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 21 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
95.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nemelaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DON
2 - 3
NEM
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 2
RKV
39%
22%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HVC
2 - 0
NEM
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 3
ACH
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
NEM
54%
20%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 3
NUE
48%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 1
ORI
32%
22%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 1
VEN
36%
21%
43%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDI
2 - 1
ORI
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 1
WIT
27%
21%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |