Nelas vs SC Paivense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 1
NEL
71%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NEL
0 - 4
TAR
19%
21%
60%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAT
0 - 0
NEL
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NEL
2 - 2
RES
12%
18%
71%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
OFR
4 - 3
NEL
83%
12%
5%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Paivense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
SAM
42%
24%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 0
SCP
25%
22%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 0
CAS
29%
24%
47%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
SCP
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 0
PEN
21%
23%
57%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |