Needham Market vs Potters Bar Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NEE
2 - 2
ROM
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NEE
3 - 4
MAI
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
NEE
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
NEE
2 - 2
HEY
73%
16%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 2
NEE
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Potters Bar Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
POT
3 - 2
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
RED
0 - 2
POT
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COR
1 - 2
POT
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
POT
2 - 2
MAL
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
TIL
2 - 2
POT
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |