Needham Market vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
NEE
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 2
NEE
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NEE
2 - 4
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
STA
3 - 0
NEE
23%
22%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -3 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 1
STA
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
LEW
0 - 1
TON
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LEW
2 - 3
BIL
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 1
LEW
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LEW
1 - 5
BRE
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PHO
2 - 0
LEW
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |