Needham Market vs Ilford FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TIL
1 - 1
NEE
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NEE
7 - 0
CHE
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SOH
2 - 2
NEE
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NEE
4 - 1
MAL
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RED
3 - 2
NEE
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ilford FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ILF
2 - 3
ROM
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ILF
3 - 2
WAL
13%
20%
68%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ILF
1 - 2
RED
13%
21%
66%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
ILF
49%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
RED
1 - 2
ILF
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |