FA Cup . 1/1024
Global 4-5
Needham Market vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 2
NEE
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
NEE
2 - 2
RUS
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
3 - 3
NEE
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEE
1 - 0
STI
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
COA
2 - 0
NEE
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 2
NEE
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
FOL
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WOR
3 - 2
EAS
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 3
EAS
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
BRI
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |