Clausura Ascenso MX Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Necaxa vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
0 - 0
NEC
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 0
LOB
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 0
NEC
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
UDG
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
IRA
0 - 1
NEC
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
0 - 0
NEC
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 1
UAT
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 2
TIJ
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
IRA
1 - 0
TIJ
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LEO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |