Liga MX Apertura Guard1anes Round 11

Necaxa vs Puebla analysis

Necaxa Puebla
76 ELO 74
-2% Tilt 4.9%
471º General ELO ranking 1224º
14º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Necaxa
25.2%
Draw
23.9%
Puebla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
Necaxa
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.9%
Win probability
Puebla
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Necaxa
-9%
-15%
Puebla

ELO progression

Necaxa
Puebla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Necaxa
Necaxa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2020
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
45%
27%
28%
77 78 1 0
09 Sep. 2020
AUR
Atl. San Luis
2 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
29%
26%
45%
77 70 7 0
05 Sep. 2020
NEC
Necaxa
0 - 2
León
LEO
27%
26%
47%
78 84 6 -1
30 Aug. 2020
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 0
Necaxa
NEC
62%
21%
17%
78 85 7 0
22 Aug. 2020
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
31%
25%
44%
78 82 4 0

Matches

Puebla
Puebla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2020
JUA
FC Juárez
1 - 0
Puebla
PUE
45%
27%
28%
74 74 0 0
09 Sep. 2020
PUE
Puebla
2 - 3
América
AME
19%
23%
57%
75 84 9 -1
06 Sep. 2020
PUM
Pumas UNAM
4 - 1
Puebla
PUE
56%
24%
21%
75 78 3 0
29 Aug. 2020
PUE
Puebla
4 - 1
Toluca
TOL
36%
27%
37%
75 78 3 0
24 Aug. 2020
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 0
Puebla
PUE
49%
26%
25%
75 78 3 0