NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
NEC
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
ZWO
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
OFI
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
NEC
56%
22%
23%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
KVM
4 - 1
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 0
ZWO
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 3
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 4
FEY
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |